The Bull & Bear Tracker (BBT) tracks and issues signals for the S&P 500’s bullish and bearish trend changes.  The signals are utilized to trade the S&P 500’s short and long ETFs as well as futures contracts. Signals are automatically executed by an online broker and a futures broker for subscribers.   

The signals are based on fluctuations in the dollar/yen ($Yen) exchange rate.  A video and charts with information that supports the dollar/yen ($yen) being a leading indicator for the S&P 500 is available at https://bullsnbears.com/usd-jpy-indicator/.          

The Bull & Bear Tracker, formerly named the NIRP Crash Indicator, is powered by an algorithm that was developed by BullsNBear’s founder Michael Markowski.  The impetus for its development was his concern about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) instituting a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) in January 2016.  Mr. Markowski conducted the research to develop a crash indicator as a result of his alarm that the spread of negative interest rates could cause a crash of the global banking system and markets.  See “Here’s How ​Japan’s NIRP Increases the Probability of Global Market Crash” and “New Indicator to Predict Future Market Crashes”.   

From March 1, 2016, when the indicator became operational; its orange and red signals predicted heightened market volatility and the BREXIT crash.  See article “NIRP Crash Indicator Signals Very Reliable for 2016”.     

Due to the ebbing of the negative interest rates shortly after Mr. Trump’s election as President along with the sharply reduced potential of a market crash, the NIRP Crash Indicator was disengaged.  See article “No Longer a Need for NIRP Crash Indicator Signals”.   

In preparing to reintroduce the proprietary indicator in 2018, the track record for its yellow signal was reviewed.  It revealed that those investors who bought and held the SPXL, the S&P 500’s 3X leveraged long ETF did very well.   

After additional research was conducted, it was determined that if one had bought and held the SPXS, the S&P 500’s 3X leveraged short ETF for those periods during 2016 when the signals were orange or red but not yellow, an investor’s return would have been 36.79%.  The hypothetical return compared from holding either the SPXL and SPXS for the entire period compared to a gain of 13.4% for the S&P 500.   For those investors who bought and held the two S&P 500 related ETFS during the 10-month period, the net return was 4.2%.   

The signals were modified in 2018 to two signals, red and green, as compared to the original four.  The original yellow was switched to the color green and the original green, which had never been used, was eliminated.  The orange and red signals were combined into one red signal.        

Due to Bull & Bear Tracker’s new GREEN and RED signals having to undergo testing subscriptions are not yet available.  When the subscriptions do become available the number of subscriptions will be limited.  This will protect the integrity of the signals and insure that subscribers have adequate liquidity.  Upon the subscriptions to Bull & Bear Tracker becoming available they will be allocated based on waiting list seniority.  Click here to register for waiting list.

 For access to the research page for Bull & Bear Tracker go to Dollar Yen Indicator page.