Overstock.com shares to reach record high by end of 2018
Overstock.com’s share price has the potential to exceed its January 2018, all-time high of $84.35 by year-end 2018. Should that happen Overstock.com’s price would increase by 136%% from its most recent share price of $36. This prediction is not...
read moreMusk’s taking Tesla private Tweet is Kiss of Death
With his tweet about his taking Tesla private for $420 per share Tesla CEO Elon Musk may have unwittingly given Tesla his kiss of death. If Musk is serious about taking the company private it will soon lose its most valuable asset which is its loyal...
read moreHigher US rates a good possibility
The latest GDP growth number of 4.1% in Q2 could well be an anomaly, although quite a few bankers and analysts are pointing to continued fair-weather. The latest thing that investors should be concerned about is a comment by JPMorgan’s CEO Jamie Diamonds who...
read moreTesla’s Unproven Business Model is Next Big RISK
Last night (08/01/18) Tesla reported its financials for its quarter and six months ended June 30, 2018. Short sellers had been hoping that Tesla’s negative cash flow and cash position would come in below analyst’s expectations. That did not happen....
read moreState of the economy assessment
It is not entirely clear what President Trump wants to achieve with his various initiatives both domestically and internationally. It is clear that he wants to disentangle himself from the Muller investigations. It is not so clear what he...
read moreBull & Bear Tracker’s signal back to GREEN
The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker is now GREEN. The signal had been RED since July 20, 2018. See Equities article “Signal for Bull & Bear Tracker has gone RED”. The signal switched from RED to GREEN due to the volatility between the US Dollar and...
read moreCrypto Security Tokens of Overstock.com subsidiary, tZERO should be aggressively purchased NOW!
When the tZERO’s $250 million crypto security token offering closes on August 6, 2018, it will become the de facto leader of the global crypto infrastructure industry. The price of its tokens will multiply in 2019. The share price of Overstock.com (OSTK),...
read moreTech Stock Armageddon to Begin
Facebook shares plummeted by 23% in after-hours trading when the company reported its quarterly earnings and held its conference call after the market closed. The company’s revenue and active users came in below analyst estimates. The big miss is the...
read moreTough times ahead for the housing market
New single-family home sales in June declined 5.3% month to month vs. a 3.9% increase the month before. This is the lowest level since October 2017. The home sales numbers are in line with the general weakening in economic activity. The median...
read moreAnother Sign that US economy may be softening
The US economy is showing more signs of softening. The latest signal was the housing market which posted its third monthly existing home sales decline. On a monthly basis home sales in June declined 0.6% after declining 0.4% in May. Home sales fell to $5.38 million...
read moreSignal for Bull & Bear Tracker has gone RED
The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker has gone to RED. The signal had been GREEN since June 1, 2018. See my article “Two signal changes for Bull & Bear Tracker since May 23rd”. The signal switched from GREEN to RED due to the volatility of the US Dollar...
read moreWho is benefitting and who is losing from New Digital Sales Tax
Its been a month since the United States Supreme Court ruled to allow US States and municipalities to collect sales taxes from products and services that are purchased from online sellers. Over the last 20 trading days the shares of Wal-Mart increased by...
read moreConsumer Sentiment Survey Leading stock market and economic indicator
The University of Michigan Consumer sentiment survey which has been published since 1960 is a great barometer that can be utilized to predict recessions, economic recoveries and also secular bull and bear markets. As depicted by the chart below the...
read moreTweets by Lawyer Fighting Tesla Very Telling
On Friday July 13, 2018, Stuart Meissner, an attorney representing a Tesla whistle blower put out the following tweet about Tesla. When Mr. Meissner was asked as to whether he was short Tesla’s shares he stated that he did not but should based on what he...
read moreTesla China Announcement and Timing Suspect
Tesla’s share price increased by $4.00 and by approximately 1% on Tuesday July 10, 2018, after the company announced that it had entered into a memo of understanding with the Shanghai government to build a factory to produce 500,000 autos per year in China...
read moreMore signs of economic contraction everywhere
More signs of economic contraction are emerging daily. Today the German research firm ZEW (Center for Economic Research) announced that its index for investor’s confidence took a big hit. Investor expectations for Germany fell to minus 24.7 in July from...
read moreTrump faces a tough trip abroad
The week is starting off with difficult issues rearing their ugly heads. Just when President Donald Trump is starting his European trip, the UK, Trump’s first stop, is entering into a political crisis over Brexit. There is a good possibility...
read moreSupport for US Stock Market now on Quicksand
The foundational support for the US stock market is now quicksand. According to recently released data pertaining to shares and ETFs investor the churn rate for the markets has increased significantly. More than $2.9 trillion worth of the shares of the...
read moreUnscalable manufacturing process Revelation causes Tesla share sell off
Tesla shares traded as high as $361.50 on July 2, 2018. This was after its founder Elon Musk declared that Tesla was finally a “real car company”. The declaration was prompted by Tesla’s meeting its goal to produce 5,000 Model 3 sedans per week for the...
read moreOutlook for the US economy fraught with uncertainty now that tariffs are official
Friday July 6, 2018, was D-Day for the tariffs. They are now official. So far the US economy looks pretty good according to the June jobs report. Unemployment is at 4% (up slightly from the 3.8% level reached in May) and, importantly, the labor participation rate...
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Turkey should not be discounted
The turmoil in Turkey increases the odds for the global stock markets to be much lower by the end of 2018. This week Turkey’s currency, its Lira declined by as much as 9% and fell to all-time lows versus the US Dollar, Japanese Yen and the Euro. What has happened...
read moreOminous signs for the markets emerge this week
It’s a very quiet pre-Memorial Day market and the key indexes are down slightly. The cause for the slide is lack of interest by market participants. The degree to which political considerations play a role in the markets is hard to gauge. The Trump-Kim back and forth...
read moreTurkey on the brink.
Volatility for the stock, bond and currency markets increased significantly today. The big story of the moment is the dramatic plunge of the Turkish lira against the US dollar. The currency at the close in Istanbul today fell to 10- year lows versus the US Dollar,...
read moreBull & Bear Tracker’s Signal has changed
The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker is now RED. The signal had been GREEN since April 9, 2018. See Equities article “NIRP Crash Indicator Renamed “Bull & Bear Tracker”; Signal Now GREEN”. The signal switched from GREEN to RED due to the increase volatility of the...
read moreREALITY that interest rates going higher now setting in; Markets are being Negatively Impacted
The 10-year US Treasury note closed at 3.08%, its highest level since 2011 was the catalyst for today’s stock market sell-off. The strong close above 3.0%, the resistance level that the notes had been flirting with since April, is a clear signal that interest rates...
read moreThe US economy is slowing down
There is little doubt the US economy is slowing down. Will it slide into recession? Possibly yes, but not immediately. The fact that the yield on the 10-year note has risen decisively above 3% is a sign of tough times ahead for the US economy....
read morePotential Effect of Iranian Sanction on Markets and Economy
The decision by President Trump to exit the Iran nuclear deal originally brokered by President Obama is widely seen as a disastrous move. Its impact will surely be felt by the remaining participants in the arrangement, the UK, Germany, France and others....
read moreStock Trading Liquidity is Key for Small Cap Company Survival
For real estate, “location, location, location” is the KEY metric. For nano-cap and microcap companies, stock trading volume (liquidity) is the KEY metric. An earlier article noted that the lack of liquidity is one of four major stock market-related...
read moreShark Tank’s O’Leary reports from the Milken conference
Shark Tank shark Kevin O’Leary, an attendee at the Milken Institute’s conference in California this week provided a report to CNBC. The conference which is held annually is attended by politicians, the world’s captains of industry and most prestigious...
read moreUnique Challenges Facing Public Nano-Cap and Microcap Public Companies
An earlier article illuminated the trend that the number of public companies in the US is decreasing and the amount of capital raised in recent years through the public markets is 26% less than that raised through the private markets. Going public has...
read moreWill there be a “Mayday” on May Day?
The probability is 50/50 that the announcers on CNBC and Bloomberg will be shouting “mayday!” on May 1, 2018. The first day of May is also known as May Day. The potential for a “mayday” alert on May Day 2018, is because the stock market has the potential...
read moreHigher 10-year yields are leading the markets direction
Interest rates are going up, with treasuries leading the way. This week the 10-year Treasury bond has risen to over 3%, a milestone in the long road to recovery from the bottom of the crash. The US economy is strong enough to support such an advance, but...
read moreThe Decline of the US Public Company?
1st in a series discussing the decline of US public companies According to a 2017 Report by the Department of the Treasury, the number of domestic public companies in the US has declined by nearly 50% over the last two decades. This trend is 100% opposite...
read moreAmazon’s share price action a good bell weather for market sentiment
Amazon reported its best quarterly earnings in its history for its first quarter ended March 31, 2018. Its share price spiked to $1638 on its open and to an all-time intraday high. The share price trended lower throughout the day and closed at $1572...
read moreShare prices of three DJ members going over the cliff is 12th nail in Bull’s Coffin
The share prices of three members of the Dow Jones 30 composite, IBM, Johnson & Johnson and Procter & Gamble performed cliff dives after announcing their first quarter 2018 earnings during the week ended April 20, 2018. Based on the performance the three...
read moreThe world economy is growing slowly but comfortably.
The world economy is showing modest signs of growth. Europe is finally coming out of its long slump as the ECB is considering ending its massive monthly money injections. The ECB’s president Mario Draghi has indicated that much recently. He...
read morePost earnings announcement share performance of key banks and brokers 11th nail in Bull’s Coffin
Since last Friday April 13th three of the USA’s largest banks including JP Morgan, Citigroup and Bank of America reported RECORD quarterly earnings. Separately, the USA’s two largest brokers reported their earnings for the first quarter of 2018. Morgan...
read moreDodd-Frank Has Killed Trading Liquidity for Emerging Companies
4th in a series explaining how DF crushed the ability of small cap companies to raise capital Previous articles appearing at http://microcapstrategies.com/2018/04/04/dodd-frank-negative-impact-on-company-capital-raising/ and...
read moreIs the US economy moving into slowdown territory?
It’s not so much “if” the US economy is slowing down but rather by “how much.” The mood in the country is getting decidedly bearish compared with the optimism seen at the start of this year. That negative attitude is very much expressed in the downturn of...
read moreThe Downward-Dodd-Death Spiral of Microcap Stocks
3rd in a series explaining how Dodd Frank crushed the ability of small cap companies to raise capital Previous articles, http://microcapstrategies.com/2018/04/04/dodd-frank-negative-impact-on-company-capital-raising/, have illuminated the following truths...
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Statements made by Michael Markowski and Profitfromthecrash.com pertaining to returns made from investing in Airbnb, UBER and Snapchat are not indicative of a TRACK RECORD. They are examples for educational purposes only.