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Special Update: Market “Melt Up” Continues

Market Melt Up Continues Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Catch Up On What You Missed Last Week Market “Melt Up” Continues I am traveling this week with my family for our...

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Market And Investing Wisdoms For 2020

Last week, I posted our 2020 Outlook, which focused on the futility of trying to predict the future and the understanding of the current market risks headed into the next decade: “The reality is that we can’t control outcomes. The most we can do is influence the...

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Prelude to Crisis

Ignoring problems rarely solves them. You need to deal with them—not just the effects, but the underlying causes, or else they usually get worse. The older you get, the more you know that is true in almost every area of life. In the developed world and especially the...

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Technically Speaking: How To Pick Up A Porcupine

Last week, I discussed the registering of the monthly buy signals, which confirmed the bull market in the S&P 500 had resumed following the 2018 Fed/Trade induced sell off. Here is a snippet of our history in this regard: “In April of 2018, I penned an...

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The Trade War Is Over, Long Live The Trade War

New Newsletter Format Market & Portfolio Positioning Review  Demise Of The Dollar Santa To Visit Broad & Wall Rules For A Santa Rally Macro View The “Art Of The Deal” & How To Lose A Trade War New: Financial Planning Corner Sector & Market...

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Time to Do the Hard Thing

We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills, because that challenge is one that we are willing to...

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Inflationary Angst

According to the dictionary, the word angst refers to “a feeling of deep anxiety or dread, typically an unfocused one about the human condition or the state of the world in general.” It comes from a German word for “fear.” Two weeks ago I referred back to my...

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Market ripening for correction or crash

Based on my analysis of the S&P 500 technical chart patterns after new all-time highs were set in 1999, 2000, 2007, 2018 and 2019, the index is ripening for a significant correction or a crash.  The volatility increasing for a market that is making new all-time...

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Mauldin: The Calm Before The Economic Storm

The global economy is slowing. Germany, for instance, may already be in recession. GDP there dropped 0.1% in this year’s second quarter, with little reason to expect better from Q3 which we will learn soon. Whatever you call it, Germany is certainly not in a good...

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Advice Worth Taking

We’ve reached the Thanksgiving weekend, and as always, I’m thankful for loyal readers like you. I hope you are enjoying some quality time with family and friends. And because of the holiday, this week’s letter will be shorter than usual, but I think it will offer real...

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Recession? The Risk Isn’t Gone 11-22-19

Holiday Note Review & Update Recession Risk Isn’t Gone New: Financial Planning Corner Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Holiday Publication Note All of us at RIA Advisors,...

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Muddling for Solutions

Those who experienced the 1930s as adults are mostly gone now, but they left notes. We have a pretty good record of what that period was like. It wasn’t fun to begin with—then it got worse. This year, I’ve written several times about the 1930s parallels that Ray Dalio...

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The Road to Default

Nothing is forever, not even debt. Every borrower eventually either repays what they owe, or defaults. Lenders may or may not have remedies. But one way or another, the debt goes away. One of Western civilization’s largest problems is we’ve convinced ourselves debt...

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Technically Speaking: 4-Risks To The Bullish View

When I was growing up, my father, probably much like yours, had pearls of wisdom that he would drop along the way. It wasn’t until much later in life that I learned that such knowledge did not come from books but through experience. One of my favorite pieces of...

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For The Bulls, It’s Now Or Never 10-18-19

Now Or Never For The Bulls Bearish Case Has Teeth Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha It’s Now Or Never For The Bulls In April of this year, I wrote an article discussing...

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What about the Brexit?

Will Brexit happen? Yes, it will. Perhaps not on October 31 as planned, but it will happen before the end of this year. The actual departure of the UK from the European Union is not the main issue, however. More important is the reaction by the financial community and...

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The Good, The Bad & The Ugly

, The Good, The Bad & The Ugly The Ugly Not Really Bad, More Okay-ish The Good Hope For More Q.E. Will It Work Next Time The Fly In The Ointment Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 09-23-19

We know you get busy and don’t check on our website as often as you might like. Plus, with so much content being pushed out every week from the RIA Team, we thought we would send you a weekly synopsis of everything that you might have missed. The Week In Blogs...

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The Moment You Know You Know, You Know! 09-20-19

Market Review & Update The Moment You Know Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Last week, we started our discussion by itemizing the list of all the things...

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US economy is still doing OK

The US economy remains modestly positive. The latest figures on industrial production in August posted an uptick of 0.6% m/m and 0.4% y/y. Manufacturing production was down 0.4% y/y, up a little from a negative 0.5% the month before. And capacity utilization inched up...

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Breaking Down The Bull/Bear Argument

Market Review & Update Breaking Down The Bull/Bear Argument Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Really! Another week of nowhere? This is the same chart...

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Violent Volatility Dangerous to 2009 Bull

Due to the violent increase in volatility which occurred during August, the S&P 500 finds itself in an extremely vulnerable position for the last week of the summer of 2019.  The volatility has increased the risk that the S&P 500 could decline by more than 100...

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Where are you going market?

One seasoned trader just noted that he believes that many market participants right now are experiencing a down market for the first time during this prolonged bull market and as a result are getting pummeled. The crazy moves in the markets are not over and we will...

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Stock Buybacks Imperil Corporate Viability

Goldman Sachs just completed an analysis of corporate balance sheets and found that dividend and stock buybacks accounted for 103.8% of their free cash flow. Meaning that they were paying more out in cash than they had on hand!  Over the last year, free cash flow has...

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Mauldin – MMT Could Destroy This Nation

I am back from my 14th annual Maine fishing camp. The private event at Leen’s Lodge is generally called Camp Kotok in honor of David Kotok of Cumberland Advisors who started these outings many years ago. CNBC and others began calling it the “Shadow Fed,” but it is...

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Risk Happens Fast. Is The Selling Over? 08-09-19

Risk Happens Fast Is The Selling Over? Risk Happens Slowly, Too. Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Risk Happens Fast Over the last few weeks, we’ve been discussing the potential for a...

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ChoiceTrade Shares, Ready to Rocket!

The share price of ChoiceTrade Holdings is getting ready to rocket from $1.70 to $30.00 per share.  The holding company’s online broker subsidiary, ChoiceTrade has been operating since 2000.  It conducts business in all 50 US states and in 58 countries.  Over the...

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Technically Speaking: Bull Market Or Bull Trap?

For the fourth time, since the end of 2017. the market has set an all-time high. Each previous all-time high has led an almost immediate sell-off. Will this time be different?Such is the belief currently which is being driven primarily by the “Pavlovian” response of a...

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Technically Speaking: Bull Market Or Bull Trap?

For the fourth time, since the end of 2017. the market has set an all-time high. Each previous all-time high has led an almost immediate sell-off.  Will this time be different? Such is the belief currently which is being driven primarily by the “Pavlovian”...

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The Economy IS Slowing

The problem when it comes to blindly investing in markets without a thorough understanding of underlying dynamics is much the same as playing “leapfrog with a…

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Why Another Volatility Spike May Be Ahead

In early October, when the U.S. stock market had reached an all-time high and investor sentiment was extremely complacent, I published a warning in Forbes called “Why Another Market Volatility Surge Is Likely Ahead.” I showed three indicators that I believed pointed...

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Signal for Bull & Bear Tracker Now GREEN

The signal for the Bull & Bear Tracker has gone from RED to GREEN.  The market crash that had been underway since October 10th has been abated.  Those who participated in my strategy which I outlined in my October 5, 2018, article entitled “Perfect...

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Day of Reckoning Approaching for Market

A day of reckoning is approaching for the US stock market.  The market’s math simply does not add up. The math not adding up was why I recommended to all the readers of my September 2007, Equities Magazine column to get out of the five largest brokers...

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Frenzied Market Blow Off Underway

A frenzied blow off for the stock market and especially the Dow Jones Industrial composite index is underway.  Investors are selling everything that is not tied down to pour their money into the index which houses 30 of the world’s largest companies....

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Party Like It’s 1992?

Last week, Mark Hulbert warned of an indicator that hasn’t been this inflated since the “Dot.com” bubble. To wit: “It’s been more than 25 years…

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Bulls Charge To All-Time Highs 09-21-18

Bulls Push To All-Time Highs Get out your party hats ladies and gentlemen, the markets hit all-time highs this past week. After increasing equity exposure in portfolios on the 11th, as the markets pulled back to the previous break-out support levels, I suggested a...

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Brexit is approaching fast

The UK continues to struggle in its efforts to come up with the right Brexit formula for a deal with the EU as there are just 193 days left before the due date.  Prime Minister Theresa May has signaled that she will be the difficult woman she advertised she will be in...

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Kass: The Bullish Bias Resounds

This morning the futures (S&P and Nasdaq) are, as is the custom, higher. The markets continue to ignore a number of cautionary signposts/macroeconomic events/concerns and…

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World Economy Stalling

The economic numbers for the US remain positive, albeit they are weakening. The latest statistics are initial jobless claims for the week ending August 25 and personal income and spending for July. The jobless claims rose slightly for the week and the income/spending...

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Statements made by Michael Markowski and Profitfromthecrash.com  pertaining to returns made from investing in Airbnb, UBER and Snapchat are not indicative of a TRACK RECORD. They are examples for educational purposes only.