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EMTY, an inverse ETF which increases in price when the brick and mortar retail stores stock index declines, has been added to Bear Trader’s ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) recommendation list.

Bear Trader’s limit price to purchase EMTY shares is $33.30.  The shares closed at $31.11 on June 16, 2020.  The projected gain from the limit price is 20% with a minimum price target of $40.00 by the end of 2020.  Based on the following EMTY is a short, intermediate and long-term buy and hold recommendation.

 

  • The SCPA (Statistical Crash Probability Analyses) algorithm’s forecast is in the process of being published.  According to the SCPA, the markets are behaving as it had forecasted.  The increase in volatility will result in the US market going lower.  It will take years for the S&P 500 to exceed its 2020 high.  The SCPA signaled that the market had bottomed on 3/23/20 and the aggressive Bear Trader subscribers’ results were gains for as much as 44.3% within 48 hours.    
  • The chart below depicts that EMTY’s price went from $29.57 on September 1, 2018 to $35.47 on February 19, 2020.   This date of February 19, 2020 was the S&P 500’s all-time high.  For this same period, EMTY increased by 20% and the S&P 500 by 17%.  EMTY’s price at the index’s all-time high is noteworthy.  Should the S&P 500 be unable to get back to or through its high, EMTY’s share price will continue to adjust higher. 
  • On June 8, 2020; EMTY sank to its lowest price since the ETF’s inception in 2017.  The decline was caused by the shares of the EMTY’s lowest share price members being bid up by penny stock speculators.  The table below depicts the percentage increases for four of EMTY’s members from their March 2020 lows to their June 2020 highs.
  • The Coronavirus has accelerated the growth rate of the digital economy and at the expense of the brick and mortar economy.  The chart below depicts that digital retail sales, as a percentage of all retail sales, has increased steadily to 16%.

Industry specific inverse ETFs such as EMTY, which increase in price upon the share prices of the companies in a specific industry in decline declining, have added a second application for Bear Trader subscribers to generate profits.  

Bear Trader is currently conducting research on all ETFs, including those which track the indices of foreign markets.  Bear Trader’s goal is to also provide subscribers with the best intermediate and long-term investment opportunities.  

Bear Trader’s short-term trending trading application accumulated a net profit of 47% from March 3 to June 16, 2020.  These returns were produced even though Bear Trader was in 100% cash for 54 of the period’s 73 trading days.

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