Bull & Bear Tracker’s signals to trade long and short S&P 500 ETFs; SPY and SH were 100% accurate in predicting the direction of the world’s two most volatile elections since 2016:
- Brexit June 23, 2016
The Bull & Bear Tracker’s signal was red indicating a decline for the S&P 500 on Friday June 24, 2016. It was the morning after the citizens of the UK had voted to leave the European Union. The signal then went from red to green indicating a bottom on the morning of June 27, 2016. The one-day-gain for those who followed the instructions to purchase the S&P 500 inverse ETF was 3.4%. The signal then stayed green for four consecutive days, a period for which the S&P 500 gained 3.5%. The S&P 500 proceeded to go to new all times until reaching its post Brexit peak on August 15, 2016. The index from June 27, 2016, to the high had gained 8%.
- US Presidential and Congressional elections November 8, 2020.
On the morning of November 9, 2016, the Bull & Bear Tracker’s signal was green indicating that the market would be in an uptrend. The green signal remaining in effect for 12 consecutive days while the S&P 500 had increased by 3.9% indicated that the market viewed Mr. Trump very favorably. The S&P 500 reached its high for 2016, which was also its all-time high on December 13, 2016. The net gain from the morning after the election to the high was 6.6%.
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The video below contains the performance metrics including track records and risk tolerance levels for the BBT algorithm and the Bull & Bear Tracker and Bear Trader products which it powers. For the 12 months ended August 31, 2020, the BBT produced a gain of 97.7% vs. a gain of 18.8% for the S&P 500.
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My “BullsNBears’ Four Election Outcome Scenarios” article is highly recommended.