by Lance Roberts | Feb 28, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
“Profit margins are probably the most mean-reverting series in finance. And if profit margins do not mean-revert, then something has gone badly wrong with capitalism.” – Jeremy Grantham While there are certainly many complaints that “capitalism” is broken, such is not...
by Lance Roberts | Feb 24, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
A recent Wall Street Journal articlediscussed how retail traders that made millions during the pandemic trading the market are now mostly wiped out. “Amateur trader Omar Ghias says he amassed roughly $1.5 million as stocks surged during the early part of the pandemic,...
by Lance Roberts | Feb 21, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
Economically speaking, bullish bets are mounting on a “no landing” scenario, which suggests the economy will avoid a recession entirely. As noted by Yahoo Finance last Friday: “The newly-coined ‘no landing’ outcome considers a scenario in which inflation doesn’t...
by Lance Roberts | Feb 17, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
We recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) and the inverted yield curve. “As in 2019, we see many of the same recession signals from the NFIB survey again combined with a high percentage of yield curve...
by Lance Roberts | Feb 14, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
The market correction has started. The question we have repeatedly discussed over the last several weeks is the ongoing battle between bullish technical improvements and bearish fundamentals. On January 27th, we discussed the bullish signals the market was giving...