by Michael Markowski | Sep 1, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
Based on new empirical research findings the Dow Jones 30 (Dow) composite index is likely to soon peak and begin a steady decline to new lows in 2020 or 2021.  According to the SCPA (Statistical Crash Probability Analyses) algorithm the probability is 90% for the Dow...
by Michael Markowski | Aug 27, 2020 | alerts, Markets/Economy
For the second quarter of 2020, US GDP experienced its worst ever contraction of 32%. Â The key question now is how fast will the economy recover? Morgan Stanley has emphatically stated that the economy would climb back to its pre pandemic February 2020 level by...
by Michael Markowski | Aug 15, 2020 | alerts, Markets/Economy
The University of Michigan’s August consumer confidence readings do not bode well for Trump or the stock market.  Confidence in the government’s economic policy fell to the lowest level since early 2017.  The index had climbed to its highest level since 2002....
by Michael Markowski | Jul 31, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy
The US stock market will soon experience its second crash for 2020. My continuing empirical research of market crashes resulted in two new metrics being discovered. The combined two indicate that another violent market crash for 2020 is inevitable. These metrics...
by Michael Markowski | Jul 5, 2020 | alerts, Markets/Economy
The S&P 500 which has declined by 3.1% since the beginning of 2020 does not reflect the true state of the stock market and the damage that has been done to investor portfolios. For the year through July 5, 2020, only four of the S&P 500’s eleven sectors are...
