by Michael Markowski | Sep 1, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
Based on new empirical research findings the Dow Jones 30 (Dow) composite index is likely to soon peak and begin a steady decline to new lows in 2020 or 2021. According to the SCPA (Statistical Crash Probability Analyses) algorithm the probability is 90% for the Dow...
by Michael Markowski | Jun 4, 2020 | Secular Bulls/Bears, Uncategorized
All good things must come to an end. The period of time that we have offered the algorithm which powers the Bull & Bear Tracker and Bear Trader free of charge has come to an end. At this point, we are seeking feedback from all Bear Trader and Bull & Bear...
by Michael Markowski | Jun 3, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears, Uncategorized
The Bear Trader, a trend trading algorithm that was spun off from the Bull & Bear Tracker to primarily trade inverse or short market index ETFs, enabled aggressive and conservative traders to make gains of 3.3% and 1.1% respectively for the month of May 2020. ...
by Michael Markowski | Jun 2, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears, Uncategorized
My recent article pointed out that after adjusting for inflation, it took 30 years (or until 1959) for the stock market to recover to its 1929 high. The revelation prompted me to conduct additional empirical research on GDP and its components from 1929 to 1942. My...
by Michael Markowski | May 31, 2020 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
May 2020, was the 11th consecutive profitable month for the Bull & Bear Tracker’s (BBT) automated signals. The gain from utilizing BBT’s signals to trade the SPY and SH ETFs during May was 8.6% vs. 4.5% for the S&P 500. For the 11 months the BBT’s...
by Michael Markowski | May 18, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
Based on the findings from my most recent empirical research, it will be at least 11 years before the US’ stock market and GDP climb back to above their recent all-time highs. Since the S&P 500, Dow and NASDAQ composites have rallied back from their March 2020...
