by Lance Roberts | Jul 18, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
The volatility index is so low it has to go higher eventually. Such seems obvious, but this year, despite the banking crisis, higher interest rates, and slowing economic data, investors continue to abandon hedges amid bullish optimism. But what exactly is the...
by Lance Roberts | Jul 14, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
There is much debate as of late on the current market cycle. Is it a bear market? Maybe. But what if this is just a correction within a 40-year-long secular bull market cycle? It is a question posed by Jacques Cesar previously. “The cyclical bull started in late March...
by Lance Roberts | Jul 11, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
Does stock risk decline the longer the holding period is? It’s a great question and something I received a comment about. Blaise Pascal, a brilliant 17th-century mathematician, famously argued that if God exists, belief would lead to infinite joy in heaven, while...
by Lance Roberts | Jun 30, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
Millions of young Americans will face the end of the student loan payment moratorium this summer. Why is this happening now, after a three-year break from payments? It is the result of the recent passage of the “Fiscal Responsibility Act” to raise the debt ceiling....
by Lance Roberts | Jun 27, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
Is the recent rally a “bull trap,” or are we in a new “bull market?” Such was a question I recently received on Twitter. Of course, understanding the term “bull trap” is needed for those not deep into technical analysis. “A bull trap is a false signal, referring to a...
by Lance Roberts | Jun 23, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
“Signs” was a song by the Five Man Electrical Band in 1970 about the hippie movement. The song came to mind as I was looking at the economic data recently. There are “Signs, Signs, Everywhere A Sign” of a recession, but no recession yet. For example, as of the end of...
