by Michael Markowski | Jun 2, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears, Uncategorized
My recent article pointed out that after adjusting for inflation, it took 30 years (or until 1959) for the stock market to recover to its 1929 high. The revelation prompted me to conduct additional empirical research on GDP and its components from 1929 to 1942. My...
by Michael Markowski | May 18, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
Based on the findings from my most recent empirical research, it will be at least 11 years before the US’ stock market and GDP climb back to above their recent all-time highs.  Since the S&P 500, Dow and NASDAQ composites have rallied back from their March 2020...
by Michael Markowski | May 13, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears, Uncategorized
The S&P 500’s rally from its March 2020 low to within 13.2% of its 2020 high has been primarily fueled by the US Federal Reserve’s monetary stimulus. The Fed has and continues to spend trillions to provide the economy with liquidity and to artificially prop up...
by Michael Markowski | May 8, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
The Bull & Bear Tracker’s (BBT) core or automated signals to trade S&P 500’s SPY and SH ETFs outperformed the S&P 500 and also the BBT’s managed signals for the eight months ended February 29, 2020. The risk for BBT’s automated and its managed signals was...
by Michael Markowski | May 7, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
The Bear Trader, a trend trading algorithm that primarily trades inverse or short market index ETFs, enabled conservative and aggressive traders to make gains of 13.62% and 40.60% respectively from March 3, 2020, to April 30, 2020. The Bear Trader, which will soon be...
by Michael Markowski | Apr 30, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
Based on the signals from the SCPA (crash statistical probability analyses) and the Bull & Bear Tracker algorithms its probable that the stock markets of the US and 12 other countries that have been crashing have reached or will soon reach their interim relief...