by Bloomberg.com | Feb 21, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy
Risk-reward for stocks is extremely poor amid hawkish Fed: MS Strategist says S&P 500 to slide as much as 26% in first half Expensive US equities are flashing a warning sign that could see the S&P 500 sliding as much as 26% in the first half of this year,...
by Paul Lengemann, BullsnBears Economist | Feb 20, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy
Michael Markowski, the developer of algorithms that have forecasted the S&P 500’s significant crashes for over a decade, has updated his forecast for the S&P 500’s bottom. His new forecast is for the S&P 500 to bottom at 1090.90. At this bottom, which...
by John Mauldin | Feb 17, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Mauldin Economics
Federal Reserve officials like to call their decisions “data dependent.” Business leaders say it a little differently, often “data driven.” The point, in both cases, is something like: “We consider relevant data when making important decisions.” All well and good but...
by Lance Roberts | Feb 17, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy, Real Investment Advice
We recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) and the inverted yield curve. “As in 2019, we see many of the same recession signals from the NFIB survey again combined with a high percentage of yield curve...
by Bloomberg.com | Feb 17, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy
Conference Board measure fell 0.3% in January after 0.8% drop Decrease was led by weaker expectations and factory orders An index of US leading economic indicators fell in January for a 10th straight month, reflecting declines in consumer expectations and factory...
by AFR.com | Feb 16, 2023 | alerts, Markets/Economy
While the pending recession will be “relatively mild”, offset by a strong consumer balance sheet, Guggenheim Partners said investors should prepare for the S&P 500 to reset significantly lower. “We believe that no one should be betting on the Federal Reserve...